Counterexample to a conjecture on the pairwise independent correlation gap using AI

Arjun Ramachandra, Karthik Natarajan

A five-element coverage function with marginals (3/10, 7/20, 3/10, 7/20, 7/20) has ordinary concave closure 4 and pairwise-independent closure at most 479/160. Their ratio is at least 640/479, above the conjectured universal 4/3 bound.

Sources for this record

What was already known

Ramachandra and Natarajan conjectured the 4/3 bound in 2025. It was proved for two and three elements and for some special functions and marginals.

AI involvement AI-autonomous

The authors report one prove-or-disprove prompt to GPT-5.5 Pro, which returned the example. Ramachandra and Natarajan validated it and wrote exact primal and dual certificates.

The first-person account describes one task-setting prompt and an AI-returned complete counterexample, with human validation only after discovery.

Importance Notable

The exact finite example disproves the proposed universal bound for nonnegative monotone submodular functions.

Limitations

The paper extends the failure to every size at least five; the four-element case remains open. The model searched with numerical linear programs, while the published refutation uses rational certificates.

Technical verification Formal (human)

The authors explicitly report validating the model output and provide complete exact rational primal/dual certificates for all five-element subsets. This is source-reported human checking of the finite counterexample, not a machine check of the final certificate.

Formal checking

Validation of model output using a feasible primal distribution and rational dual inequalities tabulated for all 32 subsets

Checker
Arjun Ramachandra and Karthik Natarajan, authors
Scope
The five-element coverage-function ratio is at least 640/479 > 4/3
Basis
Reported by the linked checker
Evidence source

Checking a formal statement does not establish that it matches the original problem.

Human understanding Full

The authors explain the coverage function, marginals, primal distribution and dual upper bound that yield the strict ratio.

Correction and publication history

2026-10-18 · publication

The exact finite example disproves the proposed universal bound for nonnegative monotone submodular functions.

Read this published revision